1 Updates

Diamond Mind Simulations Predict Dodgers and Red Sox to Win LCS, Meet in World Series

Oct 12 2013, 3:17am CDT | by PR.com

Imagine Sports utilized its Diamond Mind Baseball simulation software to project the results of Major League Baseball’s League Championship Series. Simulations showed the Dodgers and Red Sox as heavy favorites thanks primarily to more favorable pitching match-ups.

San Francisco, CA, October 12, 2013 --(PR.com)-- Imagine Sports has again employed its award-winning Diamond Mind Baseball software, widely recognized as the most statistically-accurate...

Filed under: news

YouTube Videos

 
 
 

49 weeks ago

Diamond Mind Simulations Predict Dodgers and Red Sox to Win LCS, Meet in World Series

Oct 12 2013, 3:17am CDT | by PR.com

Imagine Sports utilized its Diamond Mind Baseball simulation software to project the results of Major League Baseball’s League Championship Series. Simulations showed the Dodgers and Red Sox as heavy favorites thanks primarily to more favorable pitching match-ups.

San Francisco, CA, October 12, 2013 --(PR.com)-- Imagine Sports has again employed its award-winning Diamond Mind Baseball software, widely recognized as the most statistically-accurate simulation, to project the results of Major League Baseball’s League Championship Series. Diamond Mind utilizes proprietary algorithms to simulate each pitch of a baseball game, recalculating the odds after each pitch to account for the changing circumstances. The Diamond Mind software correctly projected all of the league division series. The simulations picked the Dodgers and Red Sox and that the both series would likely go four games (LA and Boston each did win in four games) and correctly picked the Tigers to win, most likely in five games (Detroit indeed won in five games). The Diamond Mind simulations showed the Pirates-Cardinals series to be a toss-up, giving the Pirates a slight edge – unless the series went the full five games, in which case St. Louis would be the favorite. As predicted, Pittsburgh missed its chance by failing to win game four, as the Cardinals did win game five.

After predicting the first round so accurately, what does the Diamond Mind software say about the LCS? To find out, Imagine Sports ran simulations for each of the current playoff series 1000 times to remove statistical “noise.”

National League Results
Despite the fact that the St. Louis Cardinals had the better record in the regular season and have home field advantage in this league championship series, the simulations show the Los Angeles Dodgers to be heavy favorites. The Dodgers won 79.2% of the simulation runs, with the most likely outcome being that the Dodgers win in six games or less. In fact, more than half of the simulation runs resulted in a Los Angles victory in either five or six games.

The reason? Pitching match-ups heavily favor the Dodgers. By winning in four games while waiting for the Cardinals to play five, the Dodgers set up their rotation to have two of this season’s best pitchers, Zack Greinke and Clayton Kershaw, start the first two games, while the Cards’ ace, Adam Wainwright, was needed to pitch game 5 against Pittsburgh and won’t be available to start until game 3 of this series. Further, the Dodger rotation features strong left-handed pitching to counter the left-handers that are key to the St. Louis line-up. The Cardinals, on the other hand, lack left-handed starters to counter the Dodger left-handed hitters. To make it even worse for St. Louis, LA’s right-handed hitters are far better than average against right-handed pitching.

American League Results
The Diamond Mind simulations of the ALCS show the Boston Red Sox as strong favorites over the Detroit Tigers. The Bosox won 654 of the simulation runs to 346 for the Tigers. However, the sim results show this series as much more likely to go the full seven games. Pitching match-ups are again the key, as Boston’s starting pitching matches up better against Detroit’s hitters than the Tiger pitchers do versus Red Sox hitters.

There are a few big wildcards to this series, however, and both involve two of the Tigers’ stars. One is Justin Verlander, who seems to have returned to his 2011 form, when he dominated the regular season en route to winning both the American League Cy Young and MVP awards. During the league division series versus Oakland, Verlander pitched 15 scoreless innings, giving up only 6 hits and 2 walks for an astounding 0.533 WHIP. To see what impact a rejuvenated Verlander might mean, Imagine Sports re-ran the simulations using Verlander’s 2011 stats to project his performance in this ALCS, and it makes a significant difference. If Verlander continues his dominant post-season performance, the simulations show the Tigers winning 460 times out of 1000, up from 346. The Red Sox would still be favored, but the Tigers’ chance increase dramatically if Verlander continues to pitch as he has thus far in this post-season.

On the other hand, there’s Miguel Cabrera, Detroit’s star hitter. Though his 2013 regular-season batting stats were even better than his MVP season in 2012, when he won a triple crown, Cabrera has not been hitting well since suffering a late-season groin injury. Despite a huge home run in game five of the ALDS against Oakland, Cabrera’s hitting in the series was weak. If that continues in the league championship series, Detroit’s odds are even worse. When the Diamond Mind simulation assumed Cabrera would hit like he has since suffering the injury, the Tigers win only 31% of the simulations.

Imagine Sports will run the Diamond Mind simulations again after each game to recalculate the odds for each team.

About Imagine Sports
Founded in 2005, Imagine Sports provides multiplayer online simulation sports games, including Diamond Mind Online, a baseball management game. The simulations were done using the Diamond Mind Baseball software, which was developed by renowned baseball statistics expert Tom Tippett. Diamond Mind is now widely regarded as the most sophisticated and realistic baseball simulation software and was named PC Magazine's "Editor's Choice" for pc-based baseball software.

Diamond Mind Online is available at www.imaginesports.com, where leagues start every day. The Diamond Mind pc game software is available at www.diamond-mind.com.

Contact Information:
Imagine Sports, Inc.
Dayne Myers
415 939 1828
Contact via Email
imaginesports.com

Read the full story here: http://www.pr.com/press-release/521517

Press Release Distributed by PR.com

Source: PR.com

 

Don't miss ...

 

blog comments powered by Disqus

Latest stories

Indian men's team bag bronze in 10m air rifle
Incheon, Sep 23 (IANS) India won the bronze medal in the 10 metre air rifle men's team event of the 17th Asian Games at the Ongnyeon International Shooting Range here Tuesday.
 
 
Atlanta Braves Fire GM Frank Wren
Atlanta Braves Fire GM Frank Wren
The Atlanta Braves fired general manager Frank Wren on Sept. 22 after a dismal 76-79 season which saw the team being eliminated from postseason contention.
 
 
FIFA member predicts 2022 World Cup will not be held in Qatar
Berlin, Sep 23 (IANS/EFE) A member of the executive committee of international soccer's governing body, FIFA, said Monday that he doubted the 2022 World Cup would be held in Qatar, on account of its high temperatures and health threats to players and fans.
 
 
Indians knocked out of Asiad handball
Incheon, Sep 22 (IANS) The Indian men's and women's handball teams were knocked out of the 17th Asian Games after losing both their third and final group matches to Japan and China, respectively, at the Seonhak Handball Gymnasium here Monday.
 
 
 

Latest from the Network

Atlanta Braves Fire GM Frank Wren
The Atlanta Braves have fired general manager Frank Wren.MLB.com's Mark Bowman -- who says Atlanta tapped John Hart as its interim general manager -- wrote about Wren's dismissal on Sept. 22:"Nearing the end of their...
Read more on Sport Balla
 
UN chief welcomes release of Turkish hostages
United Nations, Sep 23 (IANS) UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon welcomed the recent release of Turkish hostages held by the Islamic State (IS) Sunni militant group in Iraq. Ban is relieved that the Turkish men, women...
Read more on Politics Balla
 
IS-linked group claims French tourist's abduction in Algeria
Algiers, Sep 23 (IANS) An Algerian armed group linked to the Islamic State (IS) Sunni extremist militants Monday claimed responsibility for the abduction of a French tourist in Algeria, according to a video posted on...
Read more on Politics Balla
 
Kris Jenner files for divorce from Bruce
Kris Jenner has filed for divorce from Bruce Jenner. The showbiz matriarch - who separated from Bruce, 64, 11 months ago - has now officially started proceedings to end their 23 year marriage according to documents...
Read more on Celebrity Balla
 
Naomi Watts wishes she had more kids
Naomi Watts wishes she had more kids. The 'Diana' star - who has Sasha, 7, and Kai, 5 with her actor husband Liev Schreiber - has confessed she regrets not having her children earlier in life. She told More magazine...
Read more on Celebrity Balla
 
Barbara Walters' live appearance axed from The View
Barbara Walters' final live appearance was axed from 'The View'. The US-born broadcast journalist - who created and co-hosted the show from 1997 to 2014 - had her live segment on the season 18 premiere of the ABC series...
Read more on Celebrity Balla
 
Iggy Azalea's 'surreal' duet with Jennifer Lopez
Iggy Azalea's collaboration with Jennifer Lopez was ''surreal''. The 'Fancy' hitmaker - who released the video for the pair's new single 'Booty' last week - confessed she found working with the 45-year-old singer hard...
Read more on Celebrity Balla
 
Israel arrests four Gaza fishermen, says official
Gaza, Sep 23 (IANS) The Israeli naval forces late Monday has arrested four Palestinian fishermen in the central Gaza Strip while they were on their fishing boat, an official said. Israeli naval gunboats surrounded and...
Read more on Politics Balla
 
EU, Russia and Ukraine to hold meeting on gas in Berlin
Brussels, Sep 23 (IANS/EFE) The European Union will participate in a trilateral ministerial meeting with Russia and Ukraine Friday in Berlin to address the issue of energy security in the context of the ongoing...
Read more on Politics Balla
 
Elizabeth Hurley has crush on Aaron Paul's TV avatar
Los Angeles, Sep 23 (IANS) Actress Elizabeth Hurley says she has a crush on actor Aaron Paul's character Jesse Pinkman from TV series "Breaking Bad". The 49-year-old star took to Twitter to share her feelings,...
Read more on Celebrity Balla