1 Updates

Diamond Mind Simulations Predict Dodgers and Red Sox to Win LCS, Meet in World Series

Oct 12 2013, 3:17am CDT | by PR.com

Imagine Sports utilized its Diamond Mind Baseball simulation software to project the results of Major League Baseball’s League Championship Series. Simulations showed the Dodgers and Red Sox as heavy favorites thanks primarily to more favorable pitching match-ups.

San Francisco, CA, October 12, 2013 --(PR.com)-- Imagine Sports has again employed its award-winning Diamond Mind Baseball software, widely recognized as the most statistically-accurate...

Filed under: news

YouTube Videos

 
 
 

46 weeks ago

Diamond Mind Simulations Predict Dodgers and Red Sox to Win LCS, Meet in World Series

Oct 12 2013, 3:17am CDT | by PR.com

Imagine Sports utilized its Diamond Mind Baseball simulation software to project the results of Major League Baseball’s League Championship Series. Simulations showed the Dodgers and Red Sox as heavy favorites thanks primarily to more favorable pitching match-ups.

San Francisco, CA, October 12, 2013 --(PR.com)-- Imagine Sports has again employed its award-winning Diamond Mind Baseball software, widely recognized as the most statistically-accurate simulation, to project the results of Major League Baseball’s League Championship Series. Diamond Mind utilizes proprietary algorithms to simulate each pitch of a baseball game, recalculating the odds after each pitch to account for the changing circumstances. The Diamond Mind software correctly projected all of the league division series. The simulations picked the Dodgers and Red Sox and that the both series would likely go four games (LA and Boston each did win in four games) and correctly picked the Tigers to win, most likely in five games (Detroit indeed won in five games). The Diamond Mind simulations showed the Pirates-Cardinals series to be a toss-up, giving the Pirates a slight edge – unless the series went the full five games, in which case St. Louis would be the favorite. As predicted, Pittsburgh missed its chance by failing to win game four, as the Cardinals did win game five.

After predicting the first round so accurately, what does the Diamond Mind software say about the LCS? To find out, Imagine Sports ran simulations for each of the current playoff series 1000 times to remove statistical “noise.”

National League Results
Despite the fact that the St. Louis Cardinals had the better record in the regular season and have home field advantage in this league championship series, the simulations show the Los Angeles Dodgers to be heavy favorites. The Dodgers won 79.2% of the simulation runs, with the most likely outcome being that the Dodgers win in six games or less. In fact, more than half of the simulation runs resulted in a Los Angles victory in either five or six games.

The reason? Pitching match-ups heavily favor the Dodgers. By winning in four games while waiting for the Cardinals to play five, the Dodgers set up their rotation to have two of this season’s best pitchers, Zack Greinke and Clayton Kershaw, start the first two games, while the Cards’ ace, Adam Wainwright, was needed to pitch game 5 against Pittsburgh and won’t be available to start until game 3 of this series. Further, the Dodger rotation features strong left-handed pitching to counter the left-handers that are key to the St. Louis line-up. The Cardinals, on the other hand, lack left-handed starters to counter the Dodger left-handed hitters. To make it even worse for St. Louis, LA’s right-handed hitters are far better than average against right-handed pitching.

American League Results
The Diamond Mind simulations of the ALCS show the Boston Red Sox as strong favorites over the Detroit Tigers. The Bosox won 654 of the simulation runs to 346 for the Tigers. However, the sim results show this series as much more likely to go the full seven games. Pitching match-ups are again the key, as Boston’s starting pitching matches up better against Detroit’s hitters than the Tiger pitchers do versus Red Sox hitters.

There are a few big wildcards to this series, however, and both involve two of the Tigers’ stars. One is Justin Verlander, who seems to have returned to his 2011 form, when he dominated the regular season en route to winning both the American League Cy Young and MVP awards. During the league division series versus Oakland, Verlander pitched 15 scoreless innings, giving up only 6 hits and 2 walks for an astounding 0.533 WHIP. To see what impact a rejuvenated Verlander might mean, Imagine Sports re-ran the simulations using Verlander’s 2011 stats to project his performance in this ALCS, and it makes a significant difference. If Verlander continues his dominant post-season performance, the simulations show the Tigers winning 460 times out of 1000, up from 346. The Red Sox would still be favored, but the Tigers’ chance increase dramatically if Verlander continues to pitch as he has thus far in this post-season.

On the other hand, there’s Miguel Cabrera, Detroit’s star hitter. Though his 2013 regular-season batting stats were even better than his MVP season in 2012, when he won a triple crown, Cabrera has not been hitting well since suffering a late-season groin injury. Despite a huge home run in game five of the ALDS against Oakland, Cabrera’s hitting in the series was weak. If that continues in the league championship series, Detroit’s odds are even worse. When the Diamond Mind simulation assumed Cabrera would hit like he has since suffering the injury, the Tigers win only 31% of the simulations.

Imagine Sports will run the Diamond Mind simulations again after each game to recalculate the odds for each team.

About Imagine Sports
Founded in 2005, Imagine Sports provides multiplayer online simulation sports games, including Diamond Mind Online, a baseball management game. The simulations were done using the Diamond Mind Baseball software, which was developed by renowned baseball statistics expert Tom Tippett. Diamond Mind is now widely regarded as the most sophisticated and realistic baseball simulation software and was named PC Magazine's "Editor's Choice" for pc-based baseball software.

Diamond Mind Online is available at www.imaginesports.com, where leagues start every day. The Diamond Mind pc game software is available at www.diamond-mind.com.

Contact Information:
Imagine Sports, Inc.
Dayne Myers
415 939 1828
Contact via Email
imaginesports.com

Read the full story here: http://www.pr.com/press-release/521517

Press Release Distributed by PR.com

Source: PR.com

 

Don't miss ...

 

blog comments powered by Disqus

Latest stories

Rahane shines as India seal series in Edgbaston
Birmingham, Sep 2 (IANS) Ajinkya Rahane's maiden century and his century-run stand with Shikhar Dhawan powered India to a comprehensive nine-wicket win over England in the fourth ODI here Tuesday and also sealed the series 3-0 with still a match to go.
 
 
India vs England: Scoreboard, fourth ODI
Birmingham, Sep 2 (IANS) The following is the final scoreboard of the fourth ODI between India and England at Edgbaston here Tuesday.
 
 
Kamal Chawla stays afloat
Bangkok, Sep 2 (IANS) Having played two matches and won one, Kamal Chawla remained in contention Tuesday for the knock-out phase, while compatriot Shivam Arora, with three defeats, has virtually bowed out of the World 6-Red snooker championship in progress here.
 
 
Scoreboard of England's innings against India
Birmingham, Sep 2 (IANS) Scoreboard of England's innings against India in the fourth ODI of the five-match cricket series at Edgbaston here Tuesday.
 
 
 

Latest from the Network

11 killed in Argentina van accident
Buenos Aires, Sep 3 (IANS/EFE) At least 11 people were killed Tuesday when a van carrying teachers collided with a truck in Argentina, police said. The accident occurred about 7.45 a.m. near El Simbol, 1,000 km north...
Read more on Politics Balla
 
Diana Ross hosts 'barbecue' for son-daughter-in-law
Los Angeles, Sep 3 (IANS) Legendary singer Diana Ross hosted a "barbecue" for son Evan Ross and his wife Ashley Simpson. The 70-year-old star threw the party Monday for the couple, who exchanged vows on Sunday, to...
Read more on Celebrity Balla
 
Rebels seeking total independence from Ukraine
Kiev, Sep 3 (IANS/EFE) Russian rebels in eastern Ukraine urged Kiev Tuesday to recognise their independence and denied that peace proposals presented a day earlier in Minsk contemplated any plan to stay within Ukraine...
Read more on Politics Balla
 
Britney Spears spends $31,000 on pets
Los Angeles, Sep 3 (IANS) Singer Britney Spears' pets are living the life most humans would envy - she reportedly spent over $30,000 on her dogs. Tmz.com reports that according to new legal documents filed in her...
Read more on Celebrity Balla
 
UN says Gaza destruction 'unprecedented'
United Nations, Sep 3 (IANS) The recent conflict in the Gaza Strip has caused "unprecedented" destruction, leaving hundreds of thousands people homeless, the UN said Tuesday, quoting the latest assessment after the...
Read more on Politics Balla
 
Over 7,200 killed in Syria in August
Cairo, Sep 3 (IANS/EFE) As many as 7,219 people have been killed in Syria in August as fierce fighting continued due to the three-year-old civil war in the country, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said Tuesday...
Read more on Politics Balla
 
US doctor tests positive for Ebola in Liberia
Washington, Sep 3 (IANS) An American missionary doctor working in Liberia has tested positive for the Ebola virus, his organisation SIM USA announced Tuesday. The doctor was treating obstetrics patients at ELWA...
Read more on Business Balla
 
Anastacia slams Kim, Kanye
Los Angeles, Sep 3 (IANS) Singer Anastacia slams reality TV star Kim Kardashian and her husband Kanye West saying their need for attention is just so ill placed. The 45-year-old hit out at the star couple for having...
Read more on Celebrity Balla
 
EU to decide on new sanctions on Russia
Brussels, Sep 3 (IANS) The incoming European Union (EU) foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini Tuesday said the EU leaders will decide on new sanctions on Russia by Friday. "The package (of further sanctions) will be...
Read more on Politics Balla
 
Israel 'stands by' new land appropriation in West Bank
Jerusalem, Sep 3 (IANS) Israeli Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman Tuesday said his country "stands by its decision" to appropriate 1,000 acre land in the West Bank. "Gush Etzion settlement bloc reflects a wide...
Read more on Politics Balla