Oct 24 2013, 3:25am CDT | by PR.com
Los Angeles, CA, October 24, 2013 --(PR.com)-- Diamond Mind Simulations Predict Red Sox to beat Cardinals, Win World Series.
Imagine Sports has again employed its award-winning Diamond Mind Baseball software, widely recognized as the most statistically-accurate baseball simulation, to project the results of Major League Baseball’s World Series. Diamond Mind utilizes proprietary algorithms to simulate each pitch of a baseball game, recalculating the odds after each pitch to account for the changing circumstances. The Diamond Mind software correctly projected all of the league division series as well as the American League Championship Series. The only miss so far was in the National League Championship Series, where hot pitching by the young St. Louis staff and injuries to key LA hitters eliminated the Dodgers. As is often the case with a short series, a hot player or two – particularly pitchers – can make a huge difference.
So what does the Diamond Mind software say about the World Series? To find out, Imagine Sports ran simulations 1000 times to remove statistical “noise.”
The simulations show the Boston Red Sox to be the favorites. Boston won 60.8% of the simulation runs, with the most likely outcome being a Red Sox win in six games (20.8% of the simulations) or seven games (18.1% of the simulations.)
The reason? The Red Sox do very well against right-handed pitching, and the St. Louis rotation in the series will be all righties. Also, the simulation results showed that the Boston bench – which is stronger and deeper than the Cardinal bench – played a significant role in a surprising number of simulations.
However, the Diamond Mind simulations utilize each player’s stats during the 2013 season. If a particular hitter or pitcher performs significantly above or below his season stats, it can have a big impact on a short series. Michael Wacha’s postseason performance to date could be such a wildcard in this series. In the 2013 playoffs thus far, Wacha has given up just one run in 29 and two-thirds innings pitched, an astounding performance. Can he stay that hot, or will the pressure of the World Series spotlight affect the rookie? If Wacha does stay hot, the Cardinal odds are much better, making the Series a toss-up.
About Imagine Sports
Founded in 2005, Imagine Sports provides multiplayer online simulation sports games, including Diamond Mind Online, a baseball management game. The simulations were done using the Diamond Mind Baseball software, which was developed by renowned baseball statistics expert Tom Tippett. Diamond Mind is now widely regarded as the most sophisticated and realistic baseball simulation software and was named PC Magazine's "Editor's Choice" for pc-based baseball software.
Diamond Mind Online is available at www.imaginesports.com, where leagues start every day. The Diamond Mind pc game software is available at www.diamond-mind.com.
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